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Today’s Best Bet
Today’s Best Long Shot
The Caulfield Carnival continues on Saturday, headlined by one of many showpiece occasions on the Australian racing calendar, the Caulfield Cup (2400m). The climate is okay, the observe is mushy (5) and the rail is out six metres for the whole circuit.
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Caulfield Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Caulfield Cup
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Race 1. (12:15) Tile Importer Trophy 1400m
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Back Me
Great to see 1 Quang Tri (Bet Now: $2.90) again on the races. Patrick Payne skilled filly that resumes, having not raced for the reason that Winter when second over 1800m at Flemington after doing loads of work within the run. Just one trial to prepare, nevertheless it was an excellent piece of labor, she has high quality and is real, so watch the market.
Danger
3 Hell Hath No Fury (Bet Now: $4.20) appears onerous to beat right here for Danny O’Brien. She ran within the Jim Moloney at Sandwon and closed her race off properly late, simply lacking out on the win when an in depth up third to Waltz On By. Dodged the Guineas to be saved for this race and I believe that call will repay with a win right here.
Long Shot
5 Desiah (Bet Now: $5.50) is harmful if she will be able to settle nearer within the run. She was again close to final within the run final time within the Jim Moloney and was by no means an element, she labored to the road fairly properly late within the piece behind Waltz On By. Has proven in earlier runs she will be able to settle nearer within the run, so if that eventuates, she appeals.
Race 2. (12:50) Lamaro’s Hotel Grand (Bm80) 1700m
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Back Me
11 Cap De Joie (Bet Now: $2.25) clearly on high for me. Promising mare for Nick Ryan that has completed little improper since arriving in Australia. Latest run got here at Sandown on Underwood Day and was excellent from the again when a closing second to Picarones. Tricky draw to beat, but when she will get a drag into the race, good luck beating her. Keen.
Danger
6 Saint Bathans (Bet Now: $5.50) is a key probability. Thrown within the deep finish final time within the Seymour Cup at Bendigo however I believed his finale from close to final on the flip when an in depth up fourth to Noname Lane. That was his first run in a number of weeks, so that you’d suppose there’s room for enchancment.
Long Shot
3 Right You Are (Bet Now: $8.00) appears like he’s having fun with life underneath the care of the Maher/Eustace camp. First run for them got here at Sandown and he was superb from the again in a powerful return behind The Garden. Over a month between runs and straight to 1700m, nevertheless it’s a arrange proper within the wheel home of this secure.
Race 3. (13:25) Caulfield Classic 2000m
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Back Me
2 Red Sun Sensation (Bet Now: $6.00) is racing like he’ll eat up 2000m. He ran second to Mr Maestro within the Super Impose and though properly held by the Kiwi, he stored discovering the road and was fairly good in defeat. Is bred to eat up the journey and if he can settle nearer within the run, he’ll be fairly harmful.
Danger
1 Mr Maestro (Bet Now: $1.70) appears the perfect of the 3YO boys from a Derby perspective away from the Caulfield Guineas. He received the Super Impose two weeks in the past at Flemington the place Lane put him right into a candy spot behind the velocity and as soon as he was offered clear air, he put them away and was dominant. 2000m no subject and is the one to beat.
Long Shot
Giving respect to 5 Muramasa (Bet Now: $5.50). Busuttin/Young skilled three 12 months previous that has had two profession outings. Big win from the again on debut at Sale earlier than going to the Stutt at The Valley and was strong sufficient towards the observe sample behind Tijuana. He’ll eat up 2000m on the larger observe and the depth may be very skinny, general.
Race 4. (14:00) Ethereal Stakes 2000m
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Back Me
5 Renaissance Woman (Bet Now: $5.50) is the one I’m eager on from the Oaks perspective so I’m eager to see her at 2000m. She ran two weeks in the past within the Flight Stakes and given the race form, she had no probability, however liked the best way she stored discovering the road behind a high quality filly, Zougotcha. She’s bred to eat up 2000m+ and she or he will get it right here. Keen on her possibilities.
Danger
3 Pavitra (Bet Now: $5.50) could have no subject with 2000m. Team Freedman skilled filly from Sydney that ran within the Flight Stakes. She was close to the velocity and was left flat footed when the dash went on however she picked up late and was good to the road and thru it. She’ll be close to the entrance and for mine, she’s on the lookout for extra floor, which she will get right here.
Long Shot
1 Moko (Bet Now: $5.00) ought to respect an increase to 2000m. Given none contemporary when a slender second on the Synthetic at Pakenham. She then went to the Edward Manifold the place she was again within the run and couldn’t actually get an opportunity to construct into the race. I believe she’s going properly and at 2000m, she will get one other probability.
Race 5. (14:35) Gothic Stakes 1400m
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Back Me
12 Angry Skies (Bet Now: $3.90) is a pleasant horse for Team Hayes. Gave the clock an excellent exercise when a debut winner at Swan Hill. He then went to Sandown and was superb nearer the within behind Bank Maur, a kind race which stood up within the Caulfield Guineas. That has to learn properly for this.
Danger
8 Eponymous (Bet Now: $4.60) appears a 3 12 months previous of excellent expertise. He was fairly good contemporary on the Warwick Farm midweeks behind Cinderella Days earlier than going to The Valley on Moir Night and labored residence strongly late, helped by the bias, when second to Kaygeebee. Love him up in journey and has good upside.
Long Shot
15 Garza Blanca (Bet Now: $7.50) is a really attention-grabbing animal. Maher/Eustace skilled three 12 months previous that was too unhealthy to be true on debut at Sandown. He then went to a Murtoa maiden two weeks again and gee he received like a observe gallop, giving them an absolute caning. Not certain Caulfield will swimsuit him, higher suited at Flemington IMO, however he has expertise underneath the hood.
Race 6. (15:10) Alinghi Stakes 1100m
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Back Me
6 Rose Quartz (Bet Now: $8.50) appears to have returned in fairly good order. She was stored fairly protected in betting when resuming over 955m at The Valley and was fairly good towards the sample behind Wolflands in a powerful return. Like her as much as 1100m on the larger observe and is a key menace.
Danger
11 A Very Fine Red (Bet Now: $7.50) is Stakes class when proper and is actually able to measuring up. Market mentioned she would want the run when resuming a number of weeks in the past at Rosehill and it was proper. She received again from the within gate and did make up some headway with out threatening behind Fox Fighter. Better for the run and she or he confirmed within the Autumn she will be Stakes class.
Long Shot
14 Neverstandingstill (Bet Now: $14.00) is a fairly robust mare for Phil Sweeney. She has received 4 of eight, successful her final three, the newest at Sandown, main all the best way and she or he was there to be run down, she discovered underneath stress and was sturdy late in successful. She’ll soar on the bunny, handles all circumstances and is hard. Knockout hope.
Race 7. (15:45) Caulfield Sprint 1000m
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Back Me
11 Asfoora (Bet Now: $5.50) appears a Stakes class horse and hoping she will be able to verify that right here. She spanked them contemporary at Sandown earlier than going to the 955m at The Valley the place she was smashed in betting however the rub of the inexperienced didn’t go her approach and it was an unsightly watch. Jumps on the bunny, hopefully, has clear air from the outset, and has the change up velocity to place them away.
Danger
2 Generation (Bet Now: $4.40) instructions respect. He was stored fairly protected in betting when operating within the Moir at The Valley the place he was close to the velocity all through and battled on fairly properly when an in depth up fourth to stablemate Coolangatta. Has the runs on the board to offer this a shake.
Long Shot
10 Sartorial Splendor (Bet Now: $26.00) will soar on the bunny and provides a sight. He was off the velocity over 955m on Moir Night and he truly stored discovering the road, simply lacking out on the win when a slender second to Wolflands. He races greatest when he leads and rolls, so if that eventuates, he’ll run properly at odds.
Race 8. (16:30) Tristarc Stakes 1400m
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Back Me
6 Flying Mascot (Bet Now: $9.00) is getting towads D-Day I really feel. Just runs in two efforts this prep. Condition gave approach contemporary within the Cockram earlier than going to the Let’s Elope the place she was on velocity and drained late in a plain finale behind Kissonallforcheeks. Hard match now, that is D-Day I really feel. Just hope she leads, will get management and brings her greatest.
Danger
9 Chain Of Lightning (Bet Now: $5.00) can bounce again. Jamie Kah simply went too sluggish on her right here a number of weeks in the past within the How Now and waited far too lengthy to push the button. It allowed the mare with the perfect flip of foot, Zapateo, to return to the fore and she or he was too good. Think with a extra real tempo right here, Chain Of Lightning can get again into the winners checklist.
Long Shot
3 Excelida (Bet Now: $16.00) has an actual love affair with 1400m and comes right here in successful kind off the again of a powerful win within the Rose Of Kingston. Mick Dee gave her a peach steer off the velocity, offered her on the proper time and in a driving go, she was in a position to end greatest. Has upside to return, she’s a key probability.
Race 9. (17:15) Caulfield Cup 2400m
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Back Me
Grahame Begg has had only one race in thoughts for 6 Nonconformist (Bet Now: $11.00) and that’s the Caulfield Cup. He ran a magnificence on Saturday within the Might And Power. Flat footed after they put the dash on however actually appreciated the best way he completed his race off behind Anamoe. That’s the correct WFA kind and he used that race to run second to Incentivise final 12 months. He’s proper on observe.
Danger
10 Benaud (Bet Now: $9.00) is the principle menace IMO. He too ran within the Might And Power final Saturday and closed off his race properly late behind Anamoe, simply operating out of puff the ultimate 50m as a pipe opener for this race. He was very expensive two again within the Kingston Town however the expertise is there and his lone 2400m run, he ran so properly behind a star, Hitotsu.
Long Shot
2400m is a slight question with 5 Numerian (Bet Now: $12.00) however I believe he’s going rather well. Resumed with a powerful second within the Chelmsford earlier than going to the Hill Stakes and he was sport in defeat, however no match for a ripper in Cascadian. I believe if he can get a mushy journey close to the velocity, 2400m shall be superb, and he has the standard to measure up.
Race 10. (17:50) Moonga Stakes 1400m
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Back Me
15 Old Flame (Bet Now: $4.50) will get one other search for me within the get out. On the seven day again up after racing final Saturday at this observe/distance within the Weekend Hussler and I believed Jamie Kah was asleep on the horse. Was within the dream spot however as quickly as you had that thought, he was again close to final and misplaced all hope. T Berry again on, he’ll take no BS and on the again up, he’ll do me.
Danger
2 Ayrton (Bet Now: $SP.00) is difficult to beat. He resumed within the Testa Rossa at Sandown and for a number of strides was hailed because the winner however was match for the finale produced by I Wish I Win. Back to the Caulfield 1400m, a arrange he loves, and with the run underneath the belt, he’ll take beating right here.
Long Shot
7 Open Minded (Bet Now: $20.00) is a Caulfield 1400m specialist so he instructions respect returning to the observe/distance. Too unhealthy to be true within the Testa Rossa at Sandown behind I Wish I Win and didn’t pull up 100% submit race. Third to I Wish I Win at this observe/distance the beginning prior, don’t bin him off final begin.
BEST BET: Race Two Number 11 Cap De Joie
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 5 Renaissance Woman
LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 6 Flying Mascot
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 2, 9, 10, 11
Leg Two: 3, 4, 6, 8, 9
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11
Leg Four: 2, 7, 15, 16
$50 Investment = 6.25% of the dividend if profitable
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