Despite a moist forecast for the 2022 version of the Melbourne Cup, attendees will little doubt be partying onerous. Photo / Getty Images
Everything it is advisable to know to organise the workplace sweepstake, place an informal punt or just cheer on the Kiwi horses on this afternoon’s operating of Australasia’s largest horse race: the Melbourne Cup.
Tuesday’s “race that stops the nation” will see 23 horses slug it out over a gruelling 3200m journey at Flemington, and with so many opponents it could possibly make for a frightening prospect to determine which horses to again.
Luckily, we’ve got you in hand with the under information to the sphere and a few insider tips about learn how to impress your family and friends on race day.
Plus – The Alternative Commentary Collective will likely be operating a “Punt-a-long” dwell occasion with the Boys Get Paid staff from 3pm–6pm. They will likely be dwell betting on all of the afternoon’s races as a part of their construct as much as the Melbourne Cup.
The race is ready to get underway at 5pm (NZT) on Tuesday, so set your timers, chill your drinks and prepared your self for the festivities to return.
First up, for these organising an workplace sweepstake: Click right here for a printable Melbourne Cup sweep.
Secondly, for many who don’t really feel like scrolling all the way in which down, there are 4 Kiwi horses concerned (Stockman, Young Werther, Daqiansweet Junior and Smokin’ Romans) and the race favorite by a good margin is an Irish horse by the identify of Deauville Legend.
For these wanting a deeper dive, learn on.
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The climate
One of the largest speaking factors going into Tuesday’s nice race is the climate in Melbourne, with a moist race virtually definitely on the playing cards.
Showers, chilly and even hail is ready to lash Flemington.
“There will be enough rain in the lead-up to the cold outbreak to make the track at least soft, possibly heavy,” Weatherzone meteorologist Brett Dutschke says.
“Similarly, the grassy expanses of the Flemington lawn could tend to mud in patches and swallow up high heels.”
Note although, that it might take so much for the race to be postponed, with visibility and lightning the one causes the jockeys wouldn’t journey.
The discipline
1 – Gold Trip (Fr)
Draw – 14
Jockey – Mark Zahra
Weight – 57.5kg
Odds – $14
Form – 52x3x33529
6-year-old horse
Breeding Outstrip (GB) – Sarvana (Fr)
Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
A slashing Cup trial when simply pipped within the Caulfield Cup, Gold Trip is a 5yo French import within the leviathan Ciaron Maher & David Eustace barn. Forget run in Cox Plate, the place he had no luck, he’s a really gifted total whose prospects will solely enhance if there may be any rain within the air.
2 – Duais (Aus)
Draw – 10
Jockey – Hugh Bowman
Weight – 55.5
Odds – $26
Form – 96117×0688
5-year-old mare
Breeding Shamus Award (Aus) – Meerlust (Aus)
Trainer: Edward Cummings
An spectacular winner on this yr’s Australian Cup, and likewise a winner within the Tancred Stakes, Duais has taken time to recapture that kind since resuming. The 5yo Australian-bred mare has lacked a kick in latest efforts towards prime firm. Would want to enhance.
3 – Knights Order (Ire)
Draw – 24
Jockey – Tim Clark
Weight – 55.5
Odds – $16
Form – x3521x1343
8-year-old gelding
Breeding So You Think (NZ)-Lamanka Lass (USA)
Trainers: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
Ran nineteenth in final yr’s Cup, however in significantly better kind this yr. An excellent entrance runner who gained the 3200m Sydney Cup with a dominant show, this robust as teak, Irish-bred gelding was collared late however fought again bravely for third towards many of those within the Caulfield Cup final begin. Big likelihood.
4 – Montefilia (Aus)
Draw – 11
Jockey – Jason Collett
Weight – 55.5
Odds – $10
Form – 4x718x434
5-year-old mare
Breeding Kermadec (NZ)-Bana Wu (GB)
Trainer: David Payne
NSW educated Australian-bred mare is a former Spring Champion Stakes champion and put in an eye fixed catching Cup costume rehearsal when she stayed on effectively for fourth within the Caulfield Cup. Although she will deal with a mushy observe, she struggled the earlier begin in very heavy going. Respect.
5 – Numerian (Ire)
Draw – 7
Jockey – Tommy Berry
Weight – 55.5
Odds – $51
Form – x60211x225
7-year-old gelding
Breeding Holy Roman Emperor (Ire) – Delicate
Charm (Ire) Trainer: Annabel Neasham
Didn’t lose too many followers with a detailed and dogged fifth within the Caulfield Cup, this Irish import is an on tempo runner with no stop in his physique. But he has by no means gone additional than 2400m and whether or not he can foot it with the fashionable Europeans down the lengthy Flemington straight is the large query.
6 – Without A Fight (Ire)
Draw – 18
Jockey – William Buick
Weight – 55.5
Odds – $11
Form – 11x20311x2
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Teofilo (Ire) – Khor Sheed (GB)
Trainers: Simon & Ed Crisford
English educated Irish bred stayer who hardly ever runs a nasty race, successful seven races, together with a powerful win within the Group 3 Silver Cup Stakes at York. Has abroad expertise, having run second in Dubai, and runs finest when on tempo, or main. Very robust and up for a combat. One for the mixtures.
7 – Camorra (Ire)
Draw – 17
Jockey – Ben Melham
Weight – 55
Odds – $41
Form – 3217x551x8
6-year-old gelding horse mare
Breeding Zoffany (Ire) – Mauralakana (Fr)
Trainers: Ben & JD Hayes
Irish bred and educated, Camorra earned his spot with a dour staying run to win within the Curragh Cup on an excellent floor over 2800m in June. He didn’t seem to deal with heavier floor on the identical course within the Irish St Leger in September, when he was effectively overwhelmed. One for higher odds on a tremendous day.
8 – Deauville Legend (Ire)
Draw – 9
Jockey – Kerrin McEvoy
Weight – 55
Odds – $3.50
Form – 4x2x12121x
4-year-old gelding
Breeding Sea The Stars (Ire) – Soho Rose (Ire)
Trainer: James Ferguson
Rising staying star, who has been completely ready for this by rising English coach James Ferguson, who prepares horses to race in Australia. Has, real pace so as to add to his staying credentials the place he was a number one mild in an above-average 3YO crop and will likely be certainly one of favourites.
9 – Stockman (NZ)
Draw – 2
Jockey – Sam Clipperton
Weight – 54
Odds – $26
Form – 0127×96441
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Tavistock (NZ) – Crimson (NZ)
Trainer: Joseph Pride
Kiwi-bred Stockman is in strong kind and had a powerful win final begin at Randwick over 2600m. Started favorite within the Sydney Cup over this distance however couldn’t stick with the tempo set by Knights Order, who’s prone to do the identical on this race. The tempo, and the gap, are massive inquiries to reply.
10 – Vow And Declare (Aus)
Draw – 4
Jockey – Blake Shinn
Weight – 54
Odds – $26
Form – x8x00x5356
7-year-old gelding
Breeding Declaration Of War (USA) – Geblitzt
(Aus) Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Won this race as a 4YO in 2019, however was beset by again and tendon accidents earlier than he returned for this marketing campaign, nearly as good, if not stronger than earlier than, in accordance with his coach. Got into the race with a strong sixth within the Caulfield Cup, and now his Queensland connections will likely be hoping the rain stays away.
11 – Young Werther (NZ)
Draw – 21
Jockey – Damian Lane
Weight – 54
Odds – $31
Form – 32x528x430
5-year-old gelding
Breeding Tavistock (NZ)-Romantic Time (NZ)
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Another New Zealand-bred, from a Cup-winning steady, however who simply battled within the Cox Plate, and hasn’t gained since his first begin, as a 3YO maiden, though he completed second within the Australian Derby and positioned twice in subsequent Group 1 Turnbull Stakes, two begins in the past. Has some assist.
12 – Hoo ya Mal (GB)
Draw – 15
Jockey – Craig Williams
Weight – 53.5
Odds – $14
Form – 312×322318
4-year-old horse
Breeding Territories (Ire) – Sensationally (GB)
Trainers: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
An unplaced effort within the oldest basic of all of them, the St Leger (2916m) was the final begin for Hoo Ya Mal, who was additionally runner-up on this yr’s Epsom Derby. This stylish English raider from the Newmarket yard of George Boughey is vying to turn into the twenty fourth 3YO (NHT) to win the Melbourne Cup.
13 – Serpentine (Ire)
Draw – 23
Jockey – John Allen
Weight – 53.5
Odds -$61
Form – x786x0x090
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Galileo (Ire) – Remember When (Ire)
Trainer: Robert Hickmott
Epsom Derby winner who was in that race as a pacemaker however was not caught, then gelded and bought to Lloyd Williams to race Down Under somewhat than stand at stud. Earned his means into the Cup the onerous means by grabbing the final ticket on Saturday within the Lexus Archer Stakes, with a dour second.
14 – Daqiansweet Junior (NZ)
Draw – 13
Jockey – Daniel Moor
Weight – 53
Odds – $41
Form – 11213×070
5-year-old gelding
Breeding Sweet Orange (USA) – Paulette (NZ)
Trainer: Phillip Stokes
The fourth New Zealand stayer swooped to win the Adelaide Cup over two miles on a gradual tempo within the Autumn earlier than operating on late into third within the Sydney Cup when the tempo was a lot stronger, as it’s prone to be within the Cup. Will wrestle towards the category of this discipline and will likely be at outdoors odds.
15 – Grand Promenade (GB)
Draw – 1
Jockey – Harry Coffey
Weight – 53
Odds – $81
Form – 2516x7x594
7-year-old gelding
Breeding Champs Elysees (GB) – Zacchera (GB)
Trainers: Ciaron Maher&David Eustace
An English import who has performed all his racing in Australia within the leviathan Maher/Eustace, steady. His final win was within the Bart Cummings over a yr in the past, which punched his ticket into final yr’s race, the place he completed a tiring sixth. Form solely honest since and will likely be at lengthy odds. One for the optimists.
16 – Arapaho (Fr)
Draw – 16
Jockey – Rachel King
Weight – 52.5
Odds – $61
Form – 2721712382
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Lope De Vega (Ire) – Alzubra (GB)
Trainer: Bjorn Baker
Won a listed race in France earlier than being exported to Australia on the finish of his 3YO profession to the care of ex-Kiwi Bjorn Baker. Very sincere horse, successful as soon as and inserting 3 times in his final 4 begins in good firm. Very one-paced and possibly lacks the real flip of foot to win this.
17 – Emissary (GB)
Draw – 3
Jockey – Patrick Moloney
Weight – 51.5
Odds – $31
Form – 53x35x1581
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Kingman (GB) – Soviet Moon (Ire)
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Deemed ok to race within the Epsom Derby, however bought to
Australia as a tradesman stayer in ex-pat Kiwi Mike Moroney’s barn, he has risen into this race with two slashing performances this spring, the final within the Geelong Cup final month. Has that pace of foot from his former self to make him a bolter.
18 – Lunar Flare
Draw – 12
Jockey – Michael Dee
Weight – 51.5
Odds – $18
Form – 1156×46612
7-year-old mare
Breeding Fiorente (Ire) – My Fair Lago (Aus)
Trainer: Grahame Begg
In kind staying mare educated in Victoria, by German-bred 2013 Melbourne Cup winner Fiorente, who was a 2500m winner on this observe simply two begins again, and completed strongly when second final begin within the Moonee Valley Cup, which she gained final yr. One of the highest probabilities.
19 – Smokin’ Romans (NZ)
Draw – 16
Jockey – Jamie Kah
Weight – 51.5
Odds – $16
Form – 2219×92117
6-year-old gelding
Breeding Ghibellines (Aus) – Inferno (NZ)
Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
Another Kiwi-bred and certainly one of a powerful hand within the race for Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, who has emerged as essentially the most improved stayer in Australia, scooting away to win the $1,000,000 Turnbull Stks earlier within the Carnival. Ran into visitors issues in Caulfield Cup final begin. Definite likelihood.
20 – Tralee Rose (NZ)
Draw – 22
Jockey – Dean Yendall
Weight – 51.5
Odds – $81
Form – x33219x700
6-year-old mare
Breeding Tavistock (NZ)-Star Of Tralee (NZ)
Trainer: Symon Wilde
The third New Zealand-bred by Kiwi sire Tavistock within the race, this richly bred mare gained the 2021 Group 3 Geelong Cup, to get into final yr’s Cup the place she completed simply higher than midfield. A minor harm has been adopted by an extended interval of detached kind since.
22 – High Emocean (NZ)
Draw – 8
Jockey – Teo Nugent
Weight – 50
Odds – $41
Form – 29x25x3416
6-year-old mare
Breeding Ocean Park (NZ) – High Joy (NZ)
Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
Former Kiwi mare is one other from large Maher/Eustace barn who stormed into the sphere with a powerful win within the Bendigo Cup final week. A gear change labored the oracle two begins again in one other win, at this observe, towards many of those. Won’t thoughts the moist with the 3200m journey, the one query.
23 – Interpretation (Ire)
Draw – 6
Jockey – Craig Newitt
Weight – 50
Odds – $41
Form – 11119×9000
5-year-old horse
Breeding Galileo (Ire) – Out Of Daldiyna (Fr)
Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
Another well-bred Irish import who gained the Listed Vinnie Roe Stakes (Listed) over 2800m, certainly one of three staying wins within the Emerald Isle earlier than exported to Australia. Has proven a glimpse of kind this spring however would nonetheless want a giant enchancment to win this. Will be at juicy odds.
24 – Realm Of Flowers
Draw – 5
Jockey – Damien Thornton
Weight – 50
Odds – $9
Form – 51x006x033
6-year-old mare
Breeding So You Think (NZ)-Astral Flower (GB)
Trainers: Anthony & Sam Freedman
Two solid-placed runs this spring has been the primary present of kind in 12 months. Won 4 as a 3YO together with the $400,000 The Andrew Ramsden, defeating Grand Promenade who she is going to meet once more right here. Snuck into the Cup with scratching on Friday. Hard to advocate in a discipline of this high quality.
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Tips
Daily Telegraph racing journalist Rob Sutherland has listed his prime suggestions for the race, declaring Deauville Legend (8) deserving of its favourites tag. Next finest is Knights Order (3), then Montefilia (4) and Duais (2) rounding out his prime 4.
News.com.au’s Punters Inside Run additionally has Deauville Legend as their prime tip, adopted by Knights Order, Without A Fight and Daqiansweet Junior within the combine for a prime 4 end.
James Lamb from Punters.com.au joins the refrain of Deauville Legend backers by having it on the prime of his rankings, adopted by Without A Fight, Hoo Ya Mal and Knights Order.
Professional “Armchair Punter” Stephen Brassel has introduced his prime 4 as: Deauville Legend, Without A Fight, Duais and Gold Trip whereas additionally stating that Montefilia is a horse able to rising to the highest of the heap.
Don’t neglect: The Alternative Commentary Collective will likely be operating a “Punt-a-long” dwell occasion with the Boys Get Paid staff from 3pm–6pm. They will likely be dwell betting on all of the afternoon’s races as a part of their construct as much as the large race.
Best Bets
With an virtually unanimous race favorite at such quick odds, Deauville Legend at $3.50 looks as if a foolish wager to make for outright victory. Instead, punters would possibly discover success by way of combining the Irish stayer with the group of horses all vying for the minor placings in quinella or trifecta bets.
Rob Sutherland recommends the under technique for worth bets on the large race.
Box trifecta: A six-horse field trifecta (the place you attempt to choose the primary three finishers and your runners might are available in any order) equals 120 mixtures, so $50 will get you 41.7 per cent of the dividend.
Selections: Duais (2), Knights Order (3), Montefilia (4), Deauville Legend (8). Then throw in some worth light-weight hopes in Lunar Flare (18) and Smokin’ Romans (19).
Standout trifecta: Where you place your prime picks to complete first, add some others for second and extra for third.
First: Duais (2), Knights Order (3), Montefilia (4), Deauville Legend (8)
Second: All above plus – Without A Fight (6), Hoo Ya Mal (12), Lunar Flare (18) and Smokin’ Romans (19)
Third: All above plus – Stockman (9), Vow And Declare (10) Daqiansweet Junior (14) and Realm Of Flowers (24)
That’s a whopping 280 mixtures. So your $50 will ‘only’ get you 18 per cent of the dividend however the Cup trifecta dividend is commonly within the 1000’s, so it nonetheless has the possibility to be a pleasant gather.
Fast Facts
Melbourne Cup Barrier Statistics
Barrier 11 has been essentially the most profitable stall, producing eight winners; most just lately launching Americain to victory in 2010. Barrier 5 has gained the race on seven events.
Verry Elleegant’s successful barrier final yr was 15.
The final Melbourne Cup winner to salute from the surface barrier was Brew (2000).
Barrier 18 is the one gate by no means to supply a winner since boundaries had been first utilized in 1924 whereas barrier 7 has not tasted success since Blackwood gained the race in 1924 and barrier 12 is on a 73-year run of outs since Foxami gained from that attract 1949.
Since 1982, 40 years in the past – boundaries 6, 7, 12, 18 and 24 haven’t produced a Melbourne Cup winner.
Melbourne Cup Saddlecloth Statistics
Number 4 is essentially the most profitable Melbourne Cup saddlecloth boasting 12 wins after Verry Elleegant carried that quantity to victory final yr.
Number 12 has produced 11 winners, Makybe Diva the final in 2003 whereas Number 1 has 10 wins and Number 6 has gained the race 9 occasions – Twilight Payment carried No. 6 to victory in 2020.
The unluckiest Melbourne Cup saddlecloth is No. 18 – final carried to victory by Peter Pan in 1932.
Melbourne Cup Winner Stats – Age
Four and five-year-old horses have the most effective file within the Melbourne Cup. 4YOs have gained 46 occasions and 5YOs have gained 44 occasions.
Six-year-olds have carried out effectively within the race lately successful three of the previous 9 renewals, together with final yr when Verry Elleegant gained the race.
Melbourne Cup Winner Stats – Sex
Stallions (entires) maintain the file with 72 wins within the race.
Geldings have gained the race on 54 events.
Just 14 mares in complete, 12 people, have gained the Melbourne Cup – Verry Elleegant was the final mare to win the race final yr whereas Makybe Diva is essentially the most well-known, successful the race in 2003, 2004 and 2005.
Winning horse colors
The color bay is a transparent standout having produced 71 Melbourne Cup winners, virtually double the following finest, brown with 38 winners together with Verry Elleegant final yr.
Chestnuts have gained 35 Melbourne Cups, greys have saluted six occasions whereas black horses have claimed 5 victories.
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Melbourne Cup Weight Facts
Since the yr 2000, essentially the most profitable Melbourne Cup successful weights have been 51 to 51.5kg, 52 to 52.5kg and 54 to 54.5kg. Each weight bracket has gained 4 Melbourne Cups since 2000.
55 to 55.5 and 56 to 56.5kg have gained three Melbourne Cups every since 2000.
Heaviest weight carried to victory since 2000 was Makybe Diva in 2005. She carried 58kg to victory that yr whereas Verry Elleegant gained the race final yr carrying 57kg.
The lightest weight carried to victory since 2000 was Brew in 2000. He carried 49kg.
Origin of Melbourne Cup winners since 2000
Since 2000, 14 of the Melbourne Cup winners have been bred to Northern Hemisphere time and eight are Southern Hemisphere bred.
Breaking the final 21 winners down additional – Five had been UK bred, 5 New Zealand bred, three Australian and three Irish bred and two US and two German bred. The different two winners had been French, and Japanese bred.
Thirteen of the previous 21 winners had been educated in Australia, eight had been educated within the Northern Hemisphere (4 in Ireland, two in France, one within the UK, Germany and Japan) and the opposite Melbourne Cup winner prior to now 21 years was educated in New Zealand.
Melbourne Cup Winning Colours
White is essentially the most profitable Melbourne Cup color, within the silks of 74 successful jockeys.
Blue has been within the colors of 60 Melbourne Cup winners, narrowly forward of black with 57 wins.
Red has returned to the winner’s stall on 48 events, yellow or gold 45 occasions, with inexperienced successful 23 Melbourne Cups.
Caulfield Cup – Melbourne Cup Double
Eleven Melbourne Cup winners gained the Caulfield Cup within the lead-up – the newest being Ethereal in 2001. Might and Power achieved the feat in 1997, Doriemus in 1995, Let’s Elope in 1991, Gurner’s Lane in 1982, Galilee in 1966 and Rising Fast in 1954.
Melbourne Cup Betting
Melbourne Cup favourites have gained 32 occasions – Fiorente, a $7 likelihood in 2013, was the final favorite to salute for the punters.
Phar Lap was the shortes-priced favorite to win when $1.75 in 1930, adopted by Revenue ($2.75 in 1901) and Archer ($3 in 1862).
Only 4 $101 roughies have gained the Melbourne Cup – The Pearl in 1871, Wotan in 1936, Old Rowley in 1940 and Prince Of Penzance the newest in 2015.
The common successful worth since 2000 is $17.30.
The Melbourne Cup curse
The quantity 18 is one thing you don’t need close to your horse, saddlecloth, or barrier.
Barrier 18 has by no means produced a Melbourne Cup winner whereas the quantity 18 has solely been carried to victory as soon as, in 1932, 90 years in the past on the nice Peter Pan.
